Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.