Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 11.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.