Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Gent had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.