Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.