Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 75.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 10.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 3-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.