Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 3-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.