Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.