Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Petah Tikva win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maccabi Petah Tikva in this match.