Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Haifa win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Haifa would win this match.

Result
Hapoel Haifa	Draw	Hapoel Hadera
42.6% ( -0.01)	27.51% ( 0.01)	29.88% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.85% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.45% (

-0.05)

57.54% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.67% (

-0.04)

78.33% (

0.04)

Hapoel Haifa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28% (

-0.03)

26.71% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.02% (

-0.04)

61.97% (

0.04)

Hapoel Hadera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.29% (

-0.03)

34.71% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.56% (

-0.04)

71.44% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Haifa 42.59%

Hapoel Hadera 29.88%

Draw 27.51%

Hapoel Haifa	Draw	Hapoel Hadera
1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.59%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 29.88%