/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Femplog.png)
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Tijjani Reijnders
26'
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Christian Pulisic
40'
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Jacopo Fazzini
24'
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Giuseppe Pezzella
53'
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Szymon Zurkowski
65'
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Matteo Cancellieri
80'
AC Milan vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
AC Milan
63.06%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
20.51%
▲
(+0.06)
Empoli
16.42%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
53.09%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.46%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
42.53%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 3.5
35.06%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 3.5
64.94%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 4.5
18.31%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 4.5
81.68%
▲
(+0.15)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
87.13%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
12.86%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
60.75%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
39.25%
▲
(+0.18)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5
60.93%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
39.07%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
24.21%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
75.79%
▲
(+0.09)
Score analysis
AC Milan
63.05%
Draw
20.51%
Empoli
16.42%
AC Milan
2-0
@
10.56%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 10.3% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 63.05%
1-0 @ 10.3% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.93%
3-0 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 63.05%
Draw
1-1
@
9.69%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 20.51%
0-0 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 20.51%
Empoli
0-1
@
4.72%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 16.42%
1-2 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 16.42%