/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Femplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcaglog.png)
-
Gianluca Gaetano
17'
-
Jakub Jankto
69'
-
Yerry Mina
79'
-
Simone Scuffet
85'
Empoli vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F04%2Fempoli.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.
Result
Empoli
35.88%
▲
(+0.20)
Draw
27.36%
▲
(+0.06)
Cagliari
36.76%
▼
(-0.26)
Both Teams to Score:
49.75%
▼
(-0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.18%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 2.5
55.82%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
23.06%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 3.5
76.94%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 4.5
10.15%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 4.5
89.85%
▲
(+0.11)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5
70.27%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
29.73%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
34.2%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
65.79%
▼
(-0.02)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5
70.8%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
29.19%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 1.5
34.86%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
65.13%
▲
(+0.32)
Score analysis
Empoli
35.87%
Draw
27.36%
Cagliari
36.75%
Empoli
1-0
@
10.52%
▲
(+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 35.87%
2-1 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 35.87%
Draw
1-1
@
12.96%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
Cagliari
0-1
@
10.68%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.75%
1-2 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.75%