Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
1 - 3
Empoli

Weissman (69')
Zanoli (42'), Basic (77'), Bradaric (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zanoli (23' og.), Niang (88' pen.), Cancellieri (90+4')
Maleh (21'), Cerri (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Salernitana
Sunday, February 4 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Genoa
Saturday, February 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Empoli
33.66% ( 0.02)	25.83% ( 0.02)	40.5% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.2% (

-0.07)

49.8% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19% (

-0.06)

71.8% (

0.06)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

-0.02)

28.17% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14% (

-0.03)

63.86% (

0.03)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

-0.05)

24.29% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34% (

-0.06)

58.66% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 33.66%

Empoli 40.5%

Draw 25.83%

Salernitana	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.66%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.5%