Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
26.03% ( -0.49) | 25.57% ( 0.11) | 48.39% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 51.03% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.78% ( -0.77) | 52.22% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.08% ( -0.66) | 73.92% ( 0.66) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% ( -0.82) | 34.92% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.34% ( -0.87) | 71.66% ( 0.87) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( -0.15) | 21.59% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.32% ( -0.22) | 54.68% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.1% Total : 26.03% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 48.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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