Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
AC Milan

Noslin (64')
Serdar (6'), Baroni (7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hernandez (44'), Pulisic (50'), Chukwueze (79')
Tomori (30'), Hernandez (45'), Reijnders (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Slavia Prague 1-3 AC Milan
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	AC Milan
26.03% ( -0.49)	25.57% ( 0.11)	48.39% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 51.03% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.78% (

-0.77)

52.22% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.08% (

-0.66)

73.92% (

0.66)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.08% (

-0.82)

34.92% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.34% (

-0.87)

71.66% (

0.87)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41% (

-0.15)

21.59% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.32% (

-0.22)

54.68% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 26.03%

AC Milan 48.39%

Draw 25.57%

Hellas Verona	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.1% Total : 26.03%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 48.39%