Serie A
Gameweek
29
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fhellog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
-
Suat Serdar
6'
-
Marco Baroni
7'
-
Tijanni Noslin
64'
-
Fikayo Tomori
30'
-
Theo Hernandez
44'
-
Theo Hernandez
45'
-
Christian Pulisic
50'
-
Samuel Chukwueze
79'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
87'
Hellas Verona vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F11%2Fac-milan.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
Hellas Verona
26.03%
▼
(-0.50)
Draw
25.57%
▲
(+0.11)
AC Milan
48.39%
▲
(+0.39)
Both Teams to Score:
51.03%
▼
(-0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.78%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 2.5
52.22%
▲
(+0.77)
Over 3.5
26.08%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 3.5
73.92%
▲
(+0.67)
Over 4.5
12.05%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 4.5
87.95%
▲
(+0.44)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5
65.08%
▼
(-0.82)
Under 0.5
34.92%
▲
(+0.83)
Over 1.5
28.34%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 1.5
71.66%
▲
(+0.88)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
78.41%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
21.59%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
45.32%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
54.68%
▲
(+0.23)
Score analysis
Hellas Verona
26.03%
Draw
25.57%
AC Milan
48.39%
Hellas Verona
1-0
@
7.93%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 26.03%
2-1 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 26.03%
Draw
1-1
@
12.15%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.57%
0-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.57%
AC Milan
0-1
@
11.55%
▲
(+0.31)
1-2 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 48.39%
1-2 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 48.39%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
5
-
Rafael Leao
8'
-
Malick Thiaw
24'
-
Yunus Musah
58'
-
Christian Pulisic
76'
-
Alessandro Florenzi
89'
-
Stefano Pioli
69'+69'
-
Davide Faraoni
42'
-
Federico Bonazzoli
55'
Serie A
Gameweek
38
-
Olivier Giroud
45'+2'
-
Rafael Leao
85'
-
Rafael Leao
90'+2'
-
Davide Faraoni
72'
Serie A
Gameweek
10
-
Koray Gunter
19'
-
Miguel Veloso
9'
(OG)
-
Sandro Tonali
81'
Serie A
Gameweek
36
-
Davide Faraoni
38'
-
Davide Faraoni
45'+1'
-
Ivan Ilic
70'
-
Rafael Leao
45'+1'
-
Sandro Tonali
45'+3'
-
Sandro Tonali
50'
-
Alessandro Florenzi
86'
Serie A
Gameweek
8
-
Olivier Giroud
59'
-
Franck Kessie
76'
-
Koray Gunter
78'
-
Fode Ballo-Toure
81'
-
Federico Ceccherini
5'
-
Gianluca Caprari
7'
-
Antonin Barak
24'
-
Nikola Kalinic
25'
-
Nicolo Casale
38'
-
Miguel Veloso
54'
Serie A
Gameweek
26
-
Giangiacomo Magnani
26'
-
Daniel Bessa
90'+3'
-
Rade Krunic
27'
-
Diogo Dalot
50'