Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bologna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bologna.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Hellas Verona |
63.22% ( -0.18) | 23.07% ( 0.07) | 13.71% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 39.46% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.46% ( -0.03) | 57.54% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.68% ( -0.02) | 78.32% ( 0.02) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.16% ( -0.08) | 17.83% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.42% ( -0.13) | 48.58% ( 0.13) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.02% ( 0.17) | 51.98% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.01% ( 0.11) | 85.99% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 15.98% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.77% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 63.21% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.4% Total : 23.07% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 13.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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