/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fleclog.png)
-
Sam Beukema
5'
-
Riccardo Orsolini
27'
-
Riccardo Calafiori
34'
-
Riccardo Orsolini
49'
-
Jens Odgaard
82'
-
Roberto D'Aversa
35'
-
Pontus Almqvist
41'
-
Remi Oudin
74'
Bologna vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F40%2Fbologna.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result
Bologna
58.86%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
24.04%
▲
(+0.01)
Lecce
17.1%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
43.81%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.3%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
55.69%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
23.16%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
76.84%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
10.21%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
89.79%
▼
(-0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5
81.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
18.74%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
49.87%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
50.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
53.91%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
46.09%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
18.21%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
81.79%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Bologna
58.85%
Draw
24.04%
Lecce
17.1%
Bologna
1-0
@
14.46%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.1% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24%
4-0 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 58.85%
2-0 @ 12.1% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24%
4-0 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 58.85%
Draw
1-1
@
11.2%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 24.04%
0-0 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 24.04%
Lecce
0-1
@
6.69%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 17.1%
1-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 17.1%