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Serie A

Bologna logo
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
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Bologna
4 - 0
Lecce

Beukema (5'), Orsolini (27', 49'), Odgaard (82')
Calafiori (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

D'Aversa (35'), Almqvist (41'), Oudin (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawLecce
58.86% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)24.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.1% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.81% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.3% (0.014000000000003 0.01)55.69% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.16% (0.011000000000003 0.01)76.84% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)18.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)50.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.91% (0.039999999999999 0.04)46.09% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)81.79% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 58.85%
    Lecce 17.1%
    Draw 24.04%
BolognaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 14.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24%
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 58.85%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.0019999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Bologna vs Lecce

Bologna
75.6%
Draw
14.6%
Lecce
9.8%
41
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 14
Lecce
1-1
Bologna
Piccoli (90+10' pen.)
Ramadani (45'), Pongracic (84'), Sansone (89')
Lykogiannis (68')
Saelemaekers (50'), Calafiori (90+8')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')
Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Lecce
Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')
> Preview
Jul 26, 2020 4.15pm
Gameweek 36
Bologna
3-2
Lecce
Palacio (2'), Soriano (5'), Barrow (90+3')
Palacio (43')
Mancosu (45+2')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 17
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Babacar (85'), Farias (91')
Tachtsidis (41'), Babacar (53'), Calderoni (89')
Orsolini (43', 66'), Soriano (56')
Medel (41'), M'baye (44'), Schouten (82')