Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
4 - 2
Sassuolo

Viti (24' og.), Fabbian (73'), Ferguson (83'), Saelemaekers (86')
Aebischer (55')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Thorstvedt (13'), Volpato (34')
Thorstvedt (45+1'), Boloca (85'), Doig (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Sassuolo
51.21% ( -0.23)	24.72% ( -0.22)	24.08% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 51.77% (

1.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.67% (

1.31)

50.33% (

-1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.73% (

1.15)

72.27% (

-1.15)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.35% (

0.42)

19.65% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.38% (

0.68)

51.62% (

-0.68)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.43% (

1.14)

35.57% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.66% (

1.15)

72.34% (

-1.15)

Score Analysis

Bologna 51.2%

Sassuolo 24.08%

Draw 24.71%

Bologna	Draw	Sassuolo
1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.89% Total : 51.2%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.96% Total : 24.08%