Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 4, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 1
Hellas Verona

Dawidowicz (79' og.), Kvaratskhelia (87')
Rui (46'), Lindstrom (66'), Lobotka (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coppola (72')
Coppola (33'), Baroni (36'), Suslov (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, January 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Frosinone
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Hellas Verona
67.15% ( 0.01)	19.09% ( -0.04)	13.76% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.29% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.42% (

0.27)

41.58% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.02% (

0.27)

63.98% (

-0.26)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.55% (

0.08)

11.45% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.74% (

0.17)

36.26% (

-0.17)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.93% (

0.21)

42.07% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.5% (

0.19)

78.5% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Napoli 67.14%

Hellas Verona 13.76%

Draw 19.09%

Napoli	Draw	Hellas Verona
2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 67.14%	1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 19.09%	0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.76%