Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Hellas Verona |
67.15% ( 0.01) | 19.09% ( -0.04) | 13.76% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.42% ( 0.27) | 41.58% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.02% ( 0.27) | 63.98% ( -0.26) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.55% ( 0.08) | 11.45% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.74% ( 0.17) | 36.26% ( -0.17) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.93% ( 0.21) | 42.07% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.5% ( 0.19) | 78.5% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Hellas Verona |
2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 67.14% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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