Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Slavia Prague win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.