Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 0-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.