Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for MFK Karvina had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest MFK Karvina win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
MFK Karvina	Draw	Sparta Prague
28.6% ( 0.02)	23.73% ( 0)	47.67% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 59.11% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.46% (

-0.01)

42.54% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.06% (

-0.01)

64.94% (

MFK Karvina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

0.01)

27.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5% (

0.01)

63.49% (

-0.01)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.97% (

-0.01)

18.03% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.08% (

-0.02)

48.92% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

MFK Karvina 28.6%

Sparta Prague 47.67%

Draw 23.72%

MFK Karvina	Draw	Sparta Prague
2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.6%	1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.65% Total : 47.67%