Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banik Ostrava win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for MFK Karvina had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banik Ostrava win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest MFK Karvina win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banik Ostrava would win this match.