Czech Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Mestsky Stadion

MFK Karvina
1 - 0
Hradec Kralove

Ezeh (78')
Cavos (22'), Budinsky (51'), Svozil (59'), Moses (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Harazim (32'), Kodes (72'), Pilar (78')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between MFK Karvina and Hradec Kralove.

Form, Standings, Stats

MFK Karvina

All competitions
Last Game: Ceske Budejovice 1-0 MFK Karvina
Saturday, October 7 at 2pm in Czech Liga

Hradec Kralove

All competitions
Last Game: Hradec Kralove 1-3 Sparta Prague
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MFK Karvina win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Hradec Kralove had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MFK Karvina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Hradec Kralove win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MFK Karvina in this match.

Result
MFK KarvinaDrawHradec Kralove
47.14% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)24.57% (0.02 0.02)28.29% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 56% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)46.53% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)68.81% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
MFK Karvina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)19.82% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)51.89% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Hradec Kralove Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.15% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)66.3% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    MFK Karvina 47.14%
    Hradec Kralove 28.29%
    Draw 24.56%
MFK KarvinaDrawHradec Kralove
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 28.29%