Czech Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Vsesportovni stadion

Hradec Kralove
1 - 3
Sparta Prague

Pilar (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Karabec (15', 34'), Kuchta (71')
Olatunji (11'), Wiesner (69')
Olatunji (20')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between Hradec Kralove and Sparta Prague.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pardubice 1-1 Hradec Kralove
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hradec Kralove had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Hradec Kralove win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Hradec KraloveDrawSparta Prague
21.74% (-0.334 -0.33)23.12% (-0.215 -0.22)55.13% (0.541 0.54)
Both teams to score 53.91% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.91% (0.52999999999999 0.53)46.08% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.61% (0.5 0.5)68.38% (-0.509 -0.51)
Hradec Kralove Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)72.13% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42% (0.381 0.38)16.58% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.62% (0.685 0.68)46.37% (-0.695 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Hradec Kralove 21.74%
    Sparta Prague 55.12%
    Draw 23.12%
Hradec KraloveDrawSparta Prague
1-0 @ 6.1% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-1 @ 5.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.17% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.1% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 21.74%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.47% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.89% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.67% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.65% (0.075 0.08)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.073 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.038 0.04)
1-5 @ 0.95% (0.039 0.04)
0-5 @ 0.92% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 55.12%