Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 72.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 10.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a FK Baumit Jablonec win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.