Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Pardubice had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Pardubice win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.