Czech Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Mestsky stadion, Hlinsko

Pardubice
1 - 2
Sparta Prague

Zlatohlavek (26')
Vacek (79'), Ortiz (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Krejci (19', 65')
Kuchta (79'), Kairinen (90+9')
Coverage of the Czech Liga clash between Pardubice and Sparta Prague.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jablonec 2-1 Pardubice
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Pardubice had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Pardubice win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
PardubiceDrawSparta Prague
22.74% (0.607 0.61)23.9% (0.269 0.27)53.35% (-0.877 -0.88)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (-0.472 -0.47)48.25% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (-0.435 -0.44)70.4% (0.432 0.43)
Pardubice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (0.306 0.31)35.64% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (0.317 0.32)72.4% (-0.318 -0.32)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (-0.503 -0.5)18.02% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (-0.866 -0.87)48.9% (0.864 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Pardubice 22.74%
    Sparta Prague 53.35%
    Draw 23.89%
PardubiceDrawSparta Prague
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.182 0.18)
2-1 @ 5.86% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.42% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.02% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.18% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 22.74%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 9.43% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 5.39% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.31% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.35%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
Sparta Prague
5-2
Pardubice
Kuchta (15', 24'), Haraslin (22'), Wiesner (47'), Birmancevic (56')
Zeleny (34')
Darmovzal (65'), Krobot (73')
Surzyn (45+4'), Kovac (45+4')