Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Mlada Boleslav win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Mlada Boleslav	Draw	Sparta Prague
28.05% ( -1.47)	24.51% ( 0.01)	47.43% ( 1.46)

Both teams to score 56.02% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.56% (

-0.9)

46.43% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.28% (

-0.85)

68.72% (

0.85)

Mlada Boleslav Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72% (

-1.5)

30.28% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.55% (

-1.84)

66.45% (

1.84)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

0.25)

19.66% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.36% (

0.41)

51.64% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Mlada Boleslav 28.05%

Sparta Prague 47.43%

Draw 24.51%

Mlada Boleslav	Draw	Sparta Prague
1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.05%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.51%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 47.43%