Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sigma Olomouc win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sigma Olomouc win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Mlada Boleslav win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sigma Olomouc would win this match.