Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.