Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 76.17%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 9.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Galatasaray in this match.