Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.