Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
4 - 2
Gaziantep

Kara (3'), Ben Ouannes (16', 31'), Fall (82')
Ben Ouannes (9'), Ugurlu (10'), Saddiki (18'), Hajradinovic (29'), Ciftpinar (45+1'), Winck (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Eskihellac (52'), Markovic (53')
Jevtovic (23'), Soyalp (45+4'), Gradel (45+1'), Eskihellac (85'), Markovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Konyaspor 2-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Gaziantep

All competitions
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-1 Ankaragucu
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawGaziantep
56.89% (1.769 1.77)22.66% (-0.407 -0.41)20.44% (-1.37 -1.37)
Both teams to score 53.51% (-0.707 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)45.69% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)68.01% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.17% (0.622 0.62)15.83% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.98% (1.138 1.14)45.01% (-1.147 -1.15)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (-1.327 -1.33)36.43% (1.317 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-1.36 -1.36)73.21% (1.351 1.35)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 56.89%
    Gaziantep 20.44%
    Draw 22.65%
KasimpasaDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.8% (0.39 0.39)
3-1 @ 6.08% (0.157 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.361 0.36)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.8% (0.129 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.221 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.068 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-2 @ 5.42% (-0.292 -0.29)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 20.44%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
Gaziantep
0-3
Kasimpasa
Oct 1, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 8
Kasimpasa
1-0
Gaziantep
Celina (57')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Kasimpasa
2-1
Gaziantep
Muleka (41'), Hadergjonaj (90+7' pen.)
Hajradinovic (15'), Serbest (20'), Eysseric (61')
Hajradinovic (22')
Djilobodji (35')
Caulker (24'), Kitsiou (65'), El Messaoudi (69')
Djilobodji (65')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 12
Gaziantep
2-0
Kasimpasa
Figueiredo (37'), Caulker (86')
Figueiredo (63')

Serbest (82')
Eysseric (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 35
Gaziantep
2-2
Kasimpasa
Dicko (63'), Demir (85')
Maxim (57'), Vural (80')
Kiese Thelin (5', 58')
Sadiku (76'), Tosic (81')