Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.