Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
3 - 1
Istanbulspor

Fall (32'), Kara (56'), Ngoy (72')
Ozdes (33'), Ciftpinar (35'), Gomis (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kaan Gultekin (76')
Duhaney (32'), Traore (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Istanbulspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sivasspor 0-1 Kasimpasa
Sunday, October 22 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 2-1 Ankaragucu
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawIstanbulspor
55.76% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)22.33% (0.0010000000000012 0)21.9% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 56.76% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)42.41% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)64.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.07% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)43.6% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Istanbulspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)33.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 55.76%
    Istanbulspor 21.9%
    Draw 22.34%
KasimpasaDrawIstanbulspor
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.46% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.95%
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 55.76%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45%
0-0 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 21.9%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Istanbulspor

Kasimpasa
76.0%
Draw
24.0%
Istanbulspor
0.0%
25
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Kasimpasa
1-0
Istanbulspor
Ozcan (58')
Ozcan (48'), Fall (65')

Duhaney (90+1')
Dec 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Istanbulspor
2-1
Kasimpasa
Ethemi (29'), Kaan Gultekin (78')
Petretta (25')
rhs 2.0


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