Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
0 - 2
Fenerbahce


Ngoy (55'), Omeruo (87'), Ciftpinar (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dzeko (6'), Tadic (45+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-3 Kasimpasa
Sunday, October 1 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 1-2 Fenerbahce
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawFenerbahce
16.73% (-0.45 -0.45)21.26% (-0.243 -0.24)62.01% (0.692 0.69)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.73% (0.28 0.28)45.27% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.39% (0.26900000000001 0.27)67.61% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.66% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)40.34% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.04% (-0.349 -0.35)76.96% (0.348 0.35)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.96% (0.30499999999999 0.3)14.04% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39% (0.595 0.59)41.61% (-0.597 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 16.73%
    Fenerbahce 62.01%
    Draw 21.25%
KasimpasaDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 5.14% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-1 @ 4.58% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.73%
1-1 @ 10.09% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.25%
0-1 @ 11.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.91% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 7.14% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 6.48% (0.069 0.07)
0-4 @ 3.51% (0.111 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.18% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.94%
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.016 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.38% (0.058 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.25% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 62.01%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Fenerbahce

Kasimpasa
4.3%
Draw
8.7%
Fenerbahce
87.0%
23
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 21
Fenerbahce
5-1
Kasimpasa
Valencia (37' pen., 39', 52', 69'), Batshuayi (90+2')
Fall (24')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Kasimpasa
0-6
Fenerbahce

Hadergjonaj (21'), Hajradinovic (42'), Bahoken (54')
Emre Yesilyurt (16')
King (8'), Valencia (34', 58'), Mor (45+3'), Guler (86', 90+2')
Kadioglu (42')
Feb 28, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 27
Kasimpasa
1-2
Fenerbahce
Muleka (67')
Eysseric (48'), Elmali (90+3'), Spajic (90+4'), Donk (90+7'), Mabil (90+7')
Mabil (90+7')
Zajc (6'), Szalai (90+1')
Dursun (86')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Fenerbahce
2-1
Kasimpasa
Berisha (16'), Gustavo (45+5')
Crespo (26'), Rossi (45+2'), Gustavo (59'), Aziz (73'), Novak (74')
Travnik (53')
Sadiku (35'), Bozok (62'), Aytac (76')
> Preview
Apr 25, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Fenerbahce
3-2
Kasimpasa
Valencia (15')
Hajradinovic (21'), Szalai (40'), Valencia (45+1' pen.), Hadergjonaj (82' pen.)
Kiese Thelin (33'), Kahveci (42'), Tekin (81')
rhs 2.0


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