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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2022 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

Kasimpasa
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Muleka (67')
Eysseric (48'), Elmali (90+3'), Spajic (90+4'), Donk (90+7'), Mabil (90+7')
Mabil (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zajc (6'), Szalai (90+1')
Dursun (86')

Preview: Kasimpasa vs. Fenerbahce - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Kasimpasa will bid to end a four-game winless run in all competitions when they play host to Fenerbahce on Monday.

The visitors, on the other hand, will be looking to claim a third consecutive Super Lig victory.


Match preview

Fenerbahce's Mert Yandas celebrates scoring their first goal on February 24, 2022© Reuters

Kasimpasa may have lost just once in their previous nine league games, but their last three matches in the Super Lig have yielded just two points.

They enter Monday's contest of the back of two entertaining encounters, including a 4-4 away draw against Konyaspor last weekend.

Mortadha Ben Ouanes gave the visitors an early lead, but goals from Amilton and Amar Rahmanovic ensured that Konyaspor would have the advantage at the break before Haris Hajradinovic equalised within a minute after the restart.

Soner Dikmen restored the home side's lead before a Umut Bozok spot kick and an Awer Mabil strike in the first minute of stoppage time looked to have won the game for the visitors, but the drama was not over as Sokol Cikalleshi dispatched his penalty in the 10th minute of additional time to deny Kasimpasa all three points.

On Monday, the hosts will look to extend their unbeaten home run to four games, and after scoring ten goals in that period, they will be confident of breaching the Fenerbahce defence.

Fenerbahce coach Ismail Kartal reacts on February 24, 2022© Reuters

Meanwhile, the visitors will have to pick themselves up after exiting the Europa Conference League on Thursday following a 6-4 aggregate defeat to Slavia Prague.

Trailing 3-2 from the first leg, Fenerbahce knew only a win would do in the Czech Republic, but they started poorly with the hosts racing into a two-goal lead within the opening half hour.

Mert Hakan Yandas did pull a goal back before half time, but Yira Sor restored the two-goal advantage in the 63rd minute, and despite Mergim Berisha scoring late, the visitors fell to a 3-2 defeat on the night.

Their main focus now will be upon securing European football for next season, with fifth-placed Fenerbahce just two points adrift of the Super Lig top four.

Having lost just once in their previous six league games, Fenerbahce will be hopeful that they can pick up a positive result on Monday.

Kasimpasa Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D

Kasimpasa form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D

Fenerbahce Turkish Super Lig form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Fenerbahce form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Fenerbahce's Dimitris Pelkas celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 17, 2022© Reuters

Injury issues will rule Jeffrey Bruma and Sakib Aytac out of the Kasimpasa matchday squad.

After coming on at half time to make an immediate impact against Konyaspor, Hajradinovic is expected to come into the starting lineup for Monday's contest.

Umut Bozok netted his 12th league goal of the season in the 4-4 draw last time out, and he will lead the line for the hosts against Fenerbahce.

As for the visitors, they will have to cope without the services of Mesut Ozil, Luiz Gustavo and Filip Novak.

Irfan Kahveci was an unused substitute on Thursday after returning from injury, and he is expected to be on the bench once again on Monday, while Miha Zajc will come back into the side after missing the Slavia Prague encounter due to suspension.

Serdar Dursun will look to add to the eight league goals that he has netted this season when he starts upfront on Monday.

Kasimpasa possible starting lineup:
Taskiran; Hadergjonaj, Spajic, Serbest, Elmali; Fall, Hajradinovic, Haspolat, Eysseric, Ben Ouanes; Bozok

Fenerbahce possible starting lineup:
Bayindir; Tufan, Aziz, Szalai, Kurukalip; Zajc, Crespo; Osayi-Samuel, Guler, Rossi; Dursun


SM words green background

We say: Kasimpasa 1-3 Fenerbahce

Kasimpasa's last two games have yielded 12 goals, and we think that Monday's contest will also be an eventful one, although we expect Fenerbahce to prevail, especially as they have won the last four competitive meetings between the two sides.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.


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Game History

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Fenerbahce

Kasimpasa
20.0%
Draw
23.1%
Fenerbahce
56.9%
65
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16KonyasporKonyaspor35813143448-1437
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