Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
3 - 1
Nordsjaelland

Crespo (24'), Batshuayi (30'), Aziz (47')
Fred (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Villadsen (55')
Osman (39'), Diomande (43'), Svensson (89')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Fenerbahce and Nordsjaelland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.96%. A win for Nordsjaelland had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Nordsjaelland win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawNordsjaelland
53.96% (0.125 0.13)21.95% (-0.032 -0.03)24.1% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 61.05% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.93% (0.072000000000003 0.07)38.07% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.67% (0.078000000000003 0.08)60.33% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.83% (0.067999999999998 0.07)14.17% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.14% (0.126 0.13)41.86% (-0.121 -0.12)
Nordsjaelland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)28.87% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)64.74% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 53.96%
    Nordsjaelland 24.1%
    Draw 21.95%
FenerbahceDrawNordsjaelland
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.93% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 53.96%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Nordsjaelland

Fenerbahce
87.8%
Draw
12.2%
Nordsjaelland
0.0%
82