Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Du Marasquer

Spartak Trnava
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Ofori (88')
Kosa (23'), Bernat (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
King (70', 81')
Batshuayi (45+1')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Spartak Trnava and Fenerbahce.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Spartak Trnava win it was 1-0 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Spartak TrnavaDrawFenerbahce
23.68% (-1.953 -1.95)25.74% (-0.344 -0.34)50.58% (2.296 2.3)
Both teams to score 48.31% (-0.857 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.33% (-0.19 -0.19)54.67% (0.188 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (-0.159 -0.16)75.99% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Spartak Trnava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.66% (-1.851 -1.85)38.34% (1.85 1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.9% (-1.82 -1.82)75.09% (1.82 1.82)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.932 0.93)21.65% (-0.933 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (1.405 1.41)54.78% (-1.407 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    Spartak Trnava 23.68%
    Fenerbahce 50.58%
    Draw 25.74%
Spartak TrnavaDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-1 @ 5.84% (-0.395 -0.4)
2-0 @ 3.82% (-0.373 -0.37)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 23.68%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 8.3% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 12.7% (0.44 0.44)
0-2 @ 9.72% (0.595 0.6)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.119 0.12)
0-3 @ 4.96% (0.432 0.43)
1-3 @ 4.75% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.213 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.58%

How you voted: Spartak Trnava vs Fenerbahce

Spartak Trnava
2.4%
Draw
4.8%
Fenerbahce
92.9%
42
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Spartak Trnava
1-0
Fenerbahce
Yilmaz (41')
Gressak (33'), Grendel (79')

Ozbayrakli (82'), Koybasi (88')
Oct 4, 2018 5.55pm
Group Stage
Fenerbahce
2-0
Spartak Trnava
Slimani (52', 69')
Frey (70'), Ayew (73'), Valbuena (79')

Chanturishvili (80')