Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Zemplin Michalovce had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Zemplin Michalovce win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Trnava would win this match.