Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trencin win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Zemplin Michalovce had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trencin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Zemplin Michalovce win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trencin would win this match.