Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 3

Sep 28, 2023 at 6pm UK

Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
4 - 0
Istanbul

Djiku (5'), Duarte (10' og.), Szymanski (20', 80')
Kahveci (39'), Djiku (67'), Szymanski (71'), Oosterwolde (76')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Figueiredo (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Last Game: Alanyaspor 0-1 Fenerbahce
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Last Game: Istanbul 1-2 Galatasaray
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
66.83% ( 0.08)	18.66% ( 0.07)	14.51% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 54.92% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.15% (

-0.69)

37.85% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.9% (

-0.74)

60.1% (

0.75)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.52% (

-0.17)

10.48% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.89% (

-0.39)

34.11% (

0.39)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.35% (

-0.65)

38.65% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.61% (

-0.63)

75.39% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 66.83%

Istanbul Basaksehir 14.51%

Draw 18.66%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
2-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.63% Total : 66.83%	1-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.66%	1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.92% Total : 14.51%