Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.