Alanyaspor
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Bahcesehir Okullari Arena
Istanbul Basaksehir

Alanyaspor
2 - 0
Istanbul

Karaca (31'), Novais (45+4'), Eduardo (90+6')
Aliti (8'), Richard (15'), Bayir (35'), Karaca (35'), Ozdemir (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pelkas (5'), Figueiredo (45+6'), Aleksic (90+2')
Figueiredo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Alanyaspor and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alanyaspor

All competitions
Last Game: Trabzonspor 5-1 Alanyaspor
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-0 Istanbul
Sunday, June 11 at 6.45pm in Turkish Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.

Result
AlanyasporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
39.21% (0.028999999999996 0.03)25.44% (-0.138 -0.14)35.35% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.07% (0.493 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23% (0.629 0.63)47.77% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04% (0.577 0.58)69.96% (-0.578 -0.58)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (0.297 0.3)24.05% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68% (0.424 0.42)58.31% (-0.425 -0.42)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.363 0.36)26.17% (-0.362 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (0.483 0.48)61.26% (-0.483 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Alanyaspor 39.21%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 35.35%
    Draw 25.43%
AlanyasporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 39.21%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 35.35%

How you voted: Alanyaspor vs Istanbul

Alanyaspor
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Istanbul Basaksehir
0.0%
5
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