Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
3 - 4
Kayserispor

Fall (36'), da Costa (50'), Kara (74' pen.)
Ozdes (0')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Karimi (12'), Ciftpinar (27' og.), Boa Morte (44'), Thiam (47')
Bayazit (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Kayserispor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Kasimpasa
Friday, November 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Kayserispor

All competitions
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-0 Alanyaspor
Monday, November 6 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
KasimpasaDrawKayserispor
54.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04)22.42% (-0.023 -0.02)23.3% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.38% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (0.085999999999999 0.09)41.14% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (0.088000000000001 0.09)63.53% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87% (0.045000000000002 0.05)15.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.3% (0.085000000000001 0.09)43.7% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (0.030000000000001 0.03)31.21% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (0.035000000000004 0.04)67.55% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 54.28%
    Kayserispor 23.3%
    Draw 22.42%
KasimpasaDrawKayserispor
2-1 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 54.28%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 23.3%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Kayserispor

Kasimpasa
16.7%
Draw
50.0%
Kayserispor
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Kayserispor
0-0
Kasimpasa
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Kasimpasa
0-1
Kayserispor
Thiam (43')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 23
Kasimpasa
3-1
Kayserispor
Subasi (14' og.), Bozok (36'), Engin (53')
Donk (39'), Taskiran (88')
Gavranovic (12')
Sazdagi (45'), Bertolacci (79')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
Kayserispor
2-0
Kasimpasa
Mensah (33'), Cardoso (90+2')
Akdag (60'), Cardoso (77'), Kolovetsios (81')

Travnik (45+1'), Sadiku (56')
Jan 30, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 22
Kasimpasa
0-1
Kayserispor

Luckassen (23'), Kara (55')
Demirok (90+4')