MX23RW : Saturday, February 24 02:14:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Istanbul Basaksehir
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 1pm UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Istanbul
1 - 0
Hatayspor
Abeid (11')
Opoku (20'), Atan (21'), Babacan (81'), (90+7')
Opoku (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Strandberg (64'), Rivas (86'), Kardesler (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 3-2 Istanbul
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 3-3 Antalyaspor
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-1 Hatayspor

Basaksehir and Hatayspor boast similar defensive records heading into this one, but the former have had the upper hand offensively. We are backing them to come away with the win, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 13.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawHatayspor
66.77% (0.78 0.78) 19.73% (-0.371 -0.37) 13.5% (-0.405 -0.41)
Both teams to score 48.38% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (0.726 0.73)45.07% (-0.721 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.695 0.69)67.42% (-0.69 -0.69)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.43% (0.444 0.44)12.57% (-0.44 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.36% (0.91099999999999 0.91)38.65% (-0.907 -0.91)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34% (-0.157 -0.16)44.66% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34% (-0.127 -0.13)80.66% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 66.77%
    Hatayspor 13.5%
    Draw 19.73%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawHatayspor
2-0 @ 12.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.34% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.1 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.33% (0.154 0.15)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.093 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 66.77%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.73%
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-2 @ 3.78% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 13.5%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Hatayspor

Istanbul Basaksehir
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Hatayspor
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Nov 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Hatayspor
3-3
Istanbul
Yildirim (12'), El Kaabi (75'), Luis (81')
Traore (60'), Aleksic (65'), Gurler (90+1')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 34
Istanbul
3-0
Hatayspor
Turuc (65', 88'), Tekdemir (77')
Epureanu (36')

Sackey (87')
Dec 5, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 15
Hatayspor
0-3
Istanbul

Falette (26'), Traore (29')
Aleksic (8' pen., 27'), Okaka (45+4')
Jan 30, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 22
Istanbul
1-5
Hatayspor
Kamara (80' og.)
Turuc (37'), Aleksic (67'), Fernandes (90')
Biram Diouf (11', 57'), David (21' pen.), Boupendza (42' pen., 68')
David (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray26223155144169
2Fenerbahce26214168214767
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor2613494233943
4BesiktasBesiktas2613493731643
5KasimpasaKasimpasa2611694748-139
6Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor27106112840-1236
7AntalyasporAntalyaspor2681173129235
8SivassporSivasspor2681083036-634
9Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul2696113333033
10Samsunspor2796123336-333
11Adana Demirspor2671183935432
12KayserisporKayserispor269893236-432
13AnkaragucuAnkaragucu2661193032-229
14Hatayspor2661193235-329
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor2661193139-829
16Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk2677123130128
17GaziantepGaziantep2677123138-728
18Pendikspor2668123151-2026
19KonyasporKonyaspor26510112439-1525
20Istanbulspor2636172049-2912

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!