Besiktas
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 1pm UK
Vodafone Park (Istanbul)
Istanbul Basaksehir

Besiktas
1 - 0
Istanbul

Muleka (55')
Rebic (45'), Bingol (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Opoku (26'), Ba (68'), Lima (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Besiktas and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Besiktas

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Last Game: Istanbul 3-3 Ankaragucu
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
BesiktasDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
64.5% (-0.080999999999989 -0.08)20.13% (0.013000000000002 0.01)15.36% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.9% (0.118 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.11% (0.074999999999996 0.07)42.88% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.71% (0.073 0.07)65.29% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.44% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)12.56% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.38% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)38.62% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.35% (0.137 0.14)40.65% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76% (0.124 0.12)77.24% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Besiktas 64.5%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 15.36%
    Draw 20.13%
BesiktasDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-0 @ 10.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 10.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 64.5%
1-1 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.13%
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.29% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 15.36%

How you voted: Besiktas vs Istanbul

Besiktas
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Istanbul Basaksehir
11.1%
9
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