Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 54.69%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.