Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
4 - 2
Hatayspor

Szymanski (7'), Osayi-Samuel (15'), Dzeko (39'), Kahveci (63')
Becao (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Ghoulam (55'), Aabid (90+4')
Dele-Bashiru (20'), Kilama (61'), Bekaroglu (69'), Lamkel Ze (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 0-2 Fenerbahce
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Hatayspor 3-1 Konyaspor
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 86.71%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 4-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (1.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
86.71% (-0.50699999999999 -0.51)9.05% (0.283 0.28)4.24% (0.2249 0.22)
Both teams to score 46.11% (0.66099999999999 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.07% (-0.262 -0.26)24.93% (0.264 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.17% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)44.82% (0.347 0.35)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.21% (-0.116 -0.12)3.79% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.8% (-0.386 -0.39)16.2% (0.387 0.39)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.93% (0.743 0.74)52.07% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.95% (0.479 0.48)86.05% (-0.479 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 86.71%
    Hatayspor 4.24%
    Draw 9.05%
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
3-0 @ 11.53% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 9.43% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 7.53% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.05 0.05)
5-0 @ 6.17% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 6.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
5-1 @ 4.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-0 @ 3.37% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.078 0.08)
6-1 @ 2.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.046 0.05)
7-0 @ 1.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.32% (0.018 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 86.71%
1-1 @ 4.22% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 2.25% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 1.97% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 9.05%
1-2 @ 1.38% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 1.29% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 4.24%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Hatayspor

Fenerbahce
95.8%
Draw
4.2%
Hatayspor
0.0%
24
Head to Head
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Hatayspor
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Fenerbahce
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Feb 20, 2022 4pm
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Fenerbahce
2-0
Hatayspor
Dursun (67' pen., 81' pen.)

Ribeiro (17'), Temel (38')
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Hatayspor
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Fenerbahce
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Biram Diouf (78'), Kamara (86')
Rossi (17'), Novak (29')
Hakan Yandas (44'), Pereira (45'), Novak (90+1')
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Feb 2, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 23
Hatayspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Boupendza (90')
Caytemel (38'), Ribeiro (50'), Santos (59'), Boupendza (89'), Erdogan (90+2')
Thiam (26'), Billong (88' og.)
Cisse (73'), Bayindir (90+1')