Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Vefa Stadi

Karagumruk
0 - 0
Hatayspor


Sturaro (59'), Mendes (62'), Yalcin (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)

Lamkel Ze (45'), Kardesler (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 1-0 Karagumruk
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig

Hatayspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 3-3 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawHatayspor
45.97% (1.322 1.32)24.86% (-0.215 -0.22)29.17% (-1.104 -1.1)
Both teams to score 55.65% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (0.375 0.38)47.26% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (0.348 0.35)69.49% (-0.342 -0.34)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.74299999999999 0.74)20.62% (-0.739 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (1.156 1.16)53.17% (-1.152 -1.15)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.11% (-0.581 -0.58)29.9% (0.585 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.01% (-0.708 -0.71)65.99% (0.712 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 45.97%
    Hatayspor 29.17%
    Draw 24.86%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawHatayspor
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.68% (0.225 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.173 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.206 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.11 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.115 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.97%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Hatayspor

Fatih Karagumruk
59.1%
Draw
27.3%
Hatayspor
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 29
Hatayspor
0-3
Karagumruk
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Karagumruk
3-0
Hatayspor
Caulker (36'), Borini (45+3'), Diagne (90+8' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 29
Hatayspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Lobzhanidze (29'), El Kaabi (34', 58')
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Oct 24, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 10
Karagumruk
1-1
Hatayspor
Pesic (38')
Eggen Hedenstad (35'), Balkovec (69'), Mor (87'), Torun (90+4')
Eggen Hedenstad (88')
El Kaabi (30')
Corekci (29'), Boudjemaa (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+6')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 33
Karagumruk
1-0
Hatayspor
Sobiech (70')
Biglia (62')

Aabid (78')