Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.