Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
Jun 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
NEF Stadyumu

Karagumruk
3 - 0
Kasimpasa

Lobzhanidze (14'), Diagne (67', 82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Konyaspor 1-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, June 3 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-5 Besiktas
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKasimpasa
48.32% (0.329 0.33)23.25% (-0.16 -0.16)28.42% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.65% (0.454 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54% (0.653 0.65)40.46% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16% (0.667 0.67)62.83% (-0.662 -0.66)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (0.375 0.38)16.98% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.91% (0.658 0.66)47.09% (-0.653 -0.65)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.221 0.22)26.95% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (0.286 0.29)62.29% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 48.32%
    Kasimpasa 28.42%
    Draw 23.24%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKasimpasa
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.42%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Kasimpasa

Fatih Karagumruk
66.7%
Draw
18.2%
Kasimpasa
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 1pm
gameweek 19
Kasimpasa
2-2
Karagumruk
Hadergjonaj (30' pen.), Bahoken (90+10')
Dresevic (51'), Borini (61')
Apr 9, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 32
Karagumruk
3-2
Kasimpasa
Ugur (31'), Pesic (38'), Bistrovic (72')
Durmaz (10'), Ugur (66'), Mor (90+6')
Serbest (67'), Muleka (82')
Elmali (40'), Serbest (45'), Spajic (57')
Nov 21, 2021 10.30am
gameweek 13
Kasimpasa
1-3
Karagumruk
Erdogan (32')
Travnik (31')
Brecka (1' og.), Karamoh (20'), Pesic (27' pen.)
Mor (45+1'), Oztumer (45+4'), Zukanovic (60'), Biglia (90')
Eggen Hedenstad (90+4'), Biglia (90+7')
Feb 20, 2021 10.30am
gameweek 26
Kasimpasa
3-2
Karagumruk
Kiese Thelin (20'), Erdogan (59', 69')
Bistrovic (75')
Roco (14'), Castro (80')
Bertolacci (24'), Altinay (89')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
gameweek 5
Karagumruk
1-1
Kasimpasa
Sobiech (45+1')
Biglia (52'), Zukanovic (52'), Viviano (90+2'), Ndao (90+3')
Durmaz (74')
Kara (47')
Kara (53')