Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
2 - 3
Adana Demirspor

Ozbir (44' og.), Diagne (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ndiaye (51'), Onyekuru (76'), Dresevic (84' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Adana Demirspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 0-1 Antalyaspor
Saturday, April 29 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Adana Demirspor

All competitions
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 4-2 Alanyaspor
Saturday, May 6 at 7pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAdana Demirspor
43.37% (-0.173 -0.17)22.86% (0.145 0.15)33.77% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 65.08% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.12% (-0.696 -0.7)35.87% (0.703 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.04% (-0.77 -0.77)57.96% (0.777 0.78)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.342 -0.34)17.1% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (-0.614 -0.61)47.3% (0.621 0.62)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (-0.307 -0.31)21.49% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (-0.476 -0.48)54.54% (0.483 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 43.37%
    Adana Demirspor 33.77%
    Draw 22.86%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAdana Demirspor
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.49% (0.151 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.73% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.9% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 43.37%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.128 0.13)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 33.77%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Adana Demirspor

Fatih Karagumruk
32.0%
Draw
24.0%
Adana Demirspor
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 25, 2022 10.30am
gameweek 15
Adana Demirspor
2-1
Karagumruk
Akbaba (11', 43')
Borini (19')
Colley (37')
Jan 22, 2022 1pm
gameweek 23
Adana Demirspor
5-0
Karagumruk
Assombalonga (35', 67'), Akgun (58', 90'), Balotelli (83')
Akaydin (32')

Durmaz (35'), Borini (63'), Balkovec (65'), Biglia (79')
Karamoh (31')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 4
Karagumruk
4-0
Adana Demirspor
Pesic (14', 21'), Bertolacci (58'), Karamoh (79')

Inler (74'), Svensson (84')