Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
 

Karagumruk
4 - 0
Adana Demirspor

Pesic (14', 21'), Bertolacci (58'), Karamoh (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Inler (74'), Svensson (84')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Adana Demirspor.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAdana Demirspor
42.38%24.63%32.98%
Both teams to score 58.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36%44.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33%67%
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87%21.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.03%53.97%
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91%26.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86%61.14%
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 42.38%
    Adana Demirspor 32.98%
    Draw 24.63%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAdana Demirspor
2-1 @ 8.95%
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-1 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.98%