Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pendikspor win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 16.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pendikspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.